Runway

Cash runway calculator

Cash runway is the time until available cash reaches zero under an explicit burn and income assumption. If costs are changing, a fixed cash ÷ burn estimate can be misleading.

Live model

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Assumptions
template: runway

savings = 30000 in usd
monthly_burn = 2800 in usd
monthly_income = 600 in usd
burn_change_rate = 3%

Inputs

What the model needs

Starting cash
The reserve dedicated to the modeled period.
Monthly burn
Recurring cash outflow before income offsets.
Monthly income
Reliable recurring inflow during the runway.
Burn change
Annual growth or reduction in expenses, applied monthly; income stays constant.

Method

Formulas stay visible

net_burn = monthly_burn - monthly_incomesimple_runway = starting_cash / net_burnchanging-burn runway is found by projecting each month until balance ≤ 0

The inputs and source use the same model. Open it in Continuum for a document you can keep and revisit.

Worked example

A transition funded by $30,000

  • $30,000 starting cash
  • $2,800 monthly costs
  • $600 recurring income
  • 3% annual expense growth
ResultAt 3% annual expense growth, the projection lasts about 13.37 months. Set growth to 0% for the 13.64-month flat-burn case.

The useful question is not only the depletion month. It is when to cut costs, replace income, or stop treating the current plan as safe.

01

Stress-test it

  • Test zero income and delayed income separately.
  • Add irregular known expenses in the month they occur.
  • Compare flat burn with a realistic upward or downward cost trend.
02

Use it when

  • Planning a sabbatical or job transition
  • Monitoring a bootstrapped business
  • Deciding how much cost reduction buys meaningful time
03

Know the boundary

  • A monthly average can hide timing problems inside a month.
  • Do not count uncertain receivables as cash until you intentionally model their risk.
  • Runway is a planning horizon, not a promise that income or costs stay stable.

Questions

Is runway cash divided by monthly expenses?

Only when there is no income and costs are flat. With recurring income, use net burn. With changing costs or irregular cash events, project the balance over time.

What if income is greater than burn?

The simple depletion case no longer applies because the modeled balance is not shrinking. Stress-test whether the income is durable instead.

How often should runway be updated?

Update whenever cash, recurring income, or the cost structure changes materially. During a constrained period, monthly review is often more useful than an annual budget.

Keep the reasoning

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The full template opens as a local Continuum document. Edit every assumption, explore the result breakdown, and keep the source.

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